Wednesday, March 18, 2026
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Ghost Bites (MTN | Optasia | South32 | Sun International)

MTN now has over 300 million customers (JSE: MTN)

HEPS has increased by more than 10x year-on-year

2025 will certainly go down as one of MTN’s most memorable years. The share price has more than doubled since the start of 2025, while HEPS for the year increased spectacularly – from 110 cents to 1,274 cents.

It wasn’t that long ago that MTN was talking about emergency balance sheet solutions for MTN Nigeria. This is the same group that had to extend the MTN Zakhele Futhi structure to achieve some value for shareholders. Things can change very quickly in markets like Africa!

Management has undoubtedly played a strong role here, but make no mistake – a result like this is only possible when the macroeconomics pull off a solid recovery. With the dollar having weakened and given the African currencies some breathing room, suddenly everything became easier. Dollar-denominated debt became manageable and so did capex expenditure. With countries like Nigeria and Ghana in better financial health, people in those economies spent more on MTN’s services.

When multiple flywheels are spinning, you get results like these.

Speaking of flywheels, total customers grew by 5.6% to 307.2 million. This means incremental growth of 16.3 million customers! Data customers increased by 9.4%, while data traffic was up 27.0% as usage increased. On the fintech side, MTN saw an incredible 37.6% growth in value of transactions. They’ve now exceeded $500 billion in fintech transaction value!

These are serious numbers.

EBITDA increased by 64.0% on a reported basis, or 36.8% in constant currency. That gives you a very good idea of how favourable the currency moves were in this period.

EBITDA margin as reported was up 11.5 percentage points to 43.5%. In constant currency, it was up 5.4 percentage points to 44.5%.

Adjusted HEPS increased by 67%. This is a more reasonable indication of growth than reported HEPS, which enjoyed a more than ten-fold increase as indicated earlier.

Here’s another exciting growth number: free cash flow increased by 345.5% to R26.9 billion!

Group net debt to EBITDA has improved tremendously, dropping from 0.7x to 0.3x.

Holdco leverage remains an important ratio for MTN, as investors surely haven’t forgotten a time when the company couldn’t upstream the cash from African subsidiaries to the mothership to service debt. Holdco leverage improved marginally from 1.4x to 1.3x. USD-denominated debt is 16% of the mix, while the rest is denominated in rand.

Here at home, MTN South Africa managed service revenue growth of 2.0%. The pressure in the prepaid segment remains an issue for the company, although it is certainly good news for consumers to have so much competition out there.

The gigantic elephant in the room is, of course, Iran. The 49% stake in Irancell is a geopolitical hot potato of note, with MTN currently cooperating in a US Department of Justice grand jury investigation. There are also civil lawsuits in the US.

The market seems to be shrugging off these risks. I guess that’s either the dumbest or the smartest approach possible. Only time will tell.

What is your view on this risk?

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MTN's Iran headache

What is your view on MTN's risk?


Optasia (officially: Channel VAS Investments) is growing rapidly (JSE: OPA)

But eyebrows have been raised by a related party deal

Optasia has released results for the year ended December 2025. The company is still fresh in our market, having listed in 2025 and enjoyed a solid rally before being caught up in the Iran-related market sell-off. The stock is now trading at precisely the IPO price!

If you want to understand the company in proper detail, then I recommend referring back to this podcast with Optasia CEO, Salvador Anglada, at the time of the listing.

Optasia facilitated 44% more credit for its partners in 2025 than in 2024. With the take rate increasing on the platform, this drove group revenue growth of a meaty 76% for the year.

Group adjusted EBITDA of $114.5 million represents a 52% year-on-year increase. They are enjoying higher profits per unit of distributed value, suggesting that the economic efficiency of the platform is improving.

If you exclude the listing costs, normalised net income increased by 57.1%. Without those adjustments, HEPS as reported increased by only 9%.

Adjusted free cash flow increased by 41%, with a conversion rate of 39%. Thanks to the cash flow and the equity raise during the year, net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved from 0.99x to 0.11x.

Micro-lending services were the primary growth driver in 2025, contributing 63% of group revenue thanks to an impressive year-on-year increase of 149%. This means that micro-lending is bigger than airtime credit services for the first time. These things ultimately work together though, with airtime credit services as the initial customer touchpoint.

The default rate increased from 0.9% to 1.2%, reflecting the impact of a larger mix of micro-lending services. These products do carry more risk, but they also have a higher yield.

It all sounds interesting, except for the other announcement on the day that drove some less-than-positive commentary on the socials. Optasia announced the acquisition of Finergi, a “small related party transaction” priced at almost R500 million.

R413 million is payable in cash and R84.6 million is payable in shares, so that related party isn’t very interested in coming along for the ride. They seem far more excited about cashing out.

There’s also a contingent earn out payment of R165.9 million, so the total potential deal value is over R660 million!

Finergi allows prepaid electricity meters to function as digital wallets. Credit access when you top up your electricity is a novel concept. I’m starting to wonder if we will be able to take on more debt when we open our fridges one day to get the milk out!

Finergi has active pilots and integrations across Southern, East and West Africa, with another 10 African countries in “commercial conversations” for expansion. They also intend to expand to Asia.

The announcement is full of commentary around total addressable market and all the other arguments used to justify a valuation of over half a billion rand. Sadly, what they don’t appear to have is profit. And I mean, no profits at all.

Even worse, the net asset value is only R24.5 million. This valuation is big on hope, low on track record.

The controlling shareholder of Finergi, Bassim Haidar, is a related party to Optasia. This means that an independent expert needs to sign off on the deal as being fair. Acting in this capacity, BDO thinks that the valuation is fair.

Even without the earn-outs, it’s priced at roughly 20x book value, with no profits to back up the value. I’m not sure that this is the type of deal that investors were hoping to see with the IPO proceeds.


South32 has officially placed Mozal Aluminium on care and maintenance (JSE: S32)

Smelters cost an absolute fortune to run

After sounding the alarm many times along the way, South32 has executed the plan to put Mozal Aluminium on care and maintenance.

They’ve been working for years to secure a sufficient and affordable power supply beyond March 2026 for this asset in Mozambique. It just hasn’t happened, with Eskom (one of the counterparties in the negotiation) as a very different company to deal with these days.

It shows you how much has changed in our country. Mozal Aluminium has the IDC as a 32.4% shareholder, yet it still didn’t automatically get a special electricity tariff.

It does make me wonder why Merafe (JSE: MRF) has been granted discounted tariffs though. Perhaps the difference is that Merafe employs South Africans and is in South Africa, while the Mozal Aluminium smelter is in Mozambique?

Either way, South32 has spent around $60 million to place the asset into care and maintenance. This includes employee separation costs. Annual care and maintenance costs are around $5 million.

The alumina supplied by the Worsley Alumina refinery will now be sold to third party customers at index-linked prices.


Sun International finds growth again in land-based casinos (JSE: SUI)

As you would expect, the Sunbet business is growing rapidly

Could the bottom finally be in for the casino business? It’s possible, based on the latest results at Sun International.

We begin with the group results for the year ended December 2025. Sun International achieved group income growth of 3.2% including the Table Bay Hotel, or 7.1% excluding it. As you may recall from the recent Growthpoint (JSE: GRT) numbers, this hotel closed for a massive R1 billion overhaul.

Group continuing adjusted EBITDA (excluding the Table Bay Hotel) rose by 2.8%. This means that adjusted EBITDA margin declined from 27.9% to 26.6%.

Net debt has reduced from R5.2 billion to R5.0 billion. Net interest costs fell by a tasty 19% year-on-year, showing the dual benefit of reduced debt and a decrease in borrowing costs.

HEPS increased by 38.7%, although adjusted HEPS (up 6.4%) is the right number to look at. Interestingly, one of the items they adjust for in this regard is a R31 million non-recurring strategic review. Consultants aren’t cheap!

As further evidence that this is a mid-single digits story, the ordinary dividend for the year was up 6.5% to 424 cents per share. In a display of significantly improved sentiment, there’s also a special dividend of 100 cents per share.

As always, a closer look at the segments is valuable.

The land-based casino performance is surely the most interesting element of this story. Gross gaming revenue was down by 2.6% for the year, a much slower decline than the broader market (down 6.3%). This means they improved their market share to 46.0%.

But here’s the real nugget: Q4 saw an increase in gross gaming revenue of 4.0%. This is the first positive growth rate we’ve seen since Q2 2023. I’m still bearish on the overall market, but perhaps Sun International has finally stopped digging for the bottom.

Special mention must go to Sunbet, with a spectacular 76% increase in income. This part of the business has now overtaken Sun Slots in revenue. If it keeps up this growth rate, it will soon be bigger than Resorts and Hotels as well!

Adjusted EBITDA (before management fees) jumped from R355 million to R744 million at Sunbet. There’s nothing quite like casually doubling your profits in one year.

Unless there’s a significant change in consumer behaviour (or regulations), the growth in Sunbet looks set to continue. Growth of 40.8% in unique active players shows you how quickly this form of entertainment is growing. There are many concerns in the market around online gambling, so we will need to see how this all shakes out.

The growth at Sun Slots is far more tame, but still in the green. Income was up 2.0% year-on-year. This part of the business contributed adjusted EBITDA of R334 million, so it’s now been left in the dust by Sunbet.

The group has made a number of executive appointments, including bringing in executives from international companies. It’s probably not a bad idea to have as many different ideas around the table as possible.

In Resorts and Hotels, average room rates and revenue per available room (RevPAR) were positive contributors, especially at Sun City after its refurbishment. Excluding the Table Bay Hotel, the group achieved 6.9% growth in rooms, food and beverage revenue.

The share price closed 10.6% higher on the day. I’m not surprised by this, as the company has managed a strong set of numbers here.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
  • Hulamin (JSE: HLM) has renewed the cautionary announcement related to the potential disposal of Hulamin Extrusions. They’ve been trading under cautionary since 18 August 2025.

The Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec: Ep 9 (Innovation, engineered by the Van Greunens)

Introducing Olympia Holdings founders George Van Greunen and Manie Van Greunen

Any business owner knows that software can make or break a business. And when software is built by entrepreneurs, for entrepreneurs, the benefits are even clearer.

Like many great businesses, Olympia Engage was created to solve the challenges its founders faced in their previous businesses. With hands-on experience managing large teams and running performance and incentivisation programmes, brothers Manie and George Van Greunen set out to build digital solutions that address these challenges.

In episode 9 of The Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec, get ready to learn from these software ‘brogrammers’ about how Olympia Engage uses various techniques to improve adoption rates, create internal alignment and support measurable performance.

Episode 9 covers:

  • The difficulties companies face when tackling performance management processes, including tasks like leader boards and performance reviews
  • How Olympia Engage uses elements of CRM software and customer nurturing systems to align performance to measurable results
  • Practical insights into implementation and the change management that comes with rolling out new systems
  • The expected impact of AI on the software industry
  • The debate between diversification and focus in SME service offerings

The Finance Ghost plugged in with Capitec is made possible by the support of Capitec Business. All the entrepreneurs featured on this podcast are clients of Capitec. Capitec is an authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 46669.

Listen to the podcast here:

Read the transcript:

The Finance Ghost: Welcome to this episode of the Finance Ghost Plugged in with Capitec. What a fantastic season we’ve had. I’ve gotten to speak to all kinds of different entrepreneurs, actually doing really interesting things. 

And in the most recent episode, I also got to chat to the executives at Capitec who have actually built Capitec Business from where it started as Mercantile Bank, which Capitec then acquired, into Capitec Business as we know it today. 

My guests on the show today have actually been with Capitec as their primary business bank since the Mercantile days – and now Capitec. So they’ve also walked quite a long road with the group, which probably says something. 

That’s Manie Van Greunen and George Van Greunen, both the co-founders of Olympia Holdings. Manie, George, thank you so much for doing this. 

George, I’m not sure where in the country you are at the moment. Manie mentioned that he’s currently in the Free State in what looks like a rather pretty, almost farmhouse-style kitchen. Very nice. So, probably a bit more interesting than where I’m sitting right now. So welcome to the show.

George Van Greunen: Thank you very much. I’m sitting in Durbanville in our head office in Cape Town, so thanks for that.

The Finance Ghost: Nice. And Manie, you’re in the Free State right now?

Manie Van Greunen: Yes, thank you very much. Because we’re with a client in the Free State on a farm. We’re actually assisting them with some implementation and services that we do over here. 

It’s actually awesome to be out and about in the farm area where it’s quiet, and you’ve got animals roaming around. So it’s just a totally different view. I’m very blessed to be here and very thankful as well. And thank you very much for the opportunity.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, fantastic. I love that. It’s good to have you guys here. Thank you and thanks, Manie, for making time while travelling as well. That really helps. 

I’m excited to dig into the story of Olympia because my understanding is that at the core of this thing, sits a problem that a lot of companies face. Which is stuff like making performance reviews interesting; to actually get it to really work for employees. And we’ll dig into a lot of these things. 

My experience working in corporates has been that when people hear “performance review”, there’s almost this audible groan in the room. I’ve seen all kinds of these things, ranging from very mundane tick-box exercises (where it is literally a tick box, and nothing actually ever really rides on it, let’s be honest), through to very spicy 360-reviews in a more bonus-driven environment (where you can get some nasty surprises through the performance process). 

You can also get a lot of validation for the effort you’ve put in in the past year. 

And of course, everything in between, from absolutely useless ones, to those ending in tears, and good outcomes where you actually get a chance to really learn and grow. So, it’s a pretty interesting space to be providing solutions. 

And you guys have got some adjacent businesses on the staffing side as well, which we’ll definitely dig into. Before we get to what Olympia does, just give us the backstory to this business, how it was started. That’s always a good place to begin.

Manie Van Greunen: Thank you, Ghost. Olympia was founded in 2017. We’re based in Cape Town like George mentioned at the head office, and we did it with a clear idea: technology could fundamentally change how organisations manage people, performance and customers. 

Although we’re a software development company, we built digital solutions – and we’ve seen all these recurring challenges that companies have. Especially when it comes to performance and how they manage their people, it’s a little bit challenging when they want to manage their clients. We look at how they manage them correctly and stay in touch to actually build a positive relationship with their clients. 

With building the company, we basically got to the point where we started Olympia to engage through this process. And that is our performance management and engagement platform with a built-in CRM component to it. 

So it sounds fairly funny with all the components together. But we’ll go through, in a bit more detail, how it actually fits (together) as a package. How it’s been assisting their clients through growing their business, making sure they manage their people correctly, even customer enablement, and how they can actually be closer to their clients and give them a better service. Which, in return, brings more profitability to the companies. 

At the same time, it also actually helps the internal people to manage the performance side – how the people can improve and do things better. 

We’ve learned a lot ourselves. Prior to this business, we had a 140-strong staff complement with people sitting all over South Africa, and some of them being based abroad. And our biggest challenge was how to make sure that our people felt engaged, and part of a team. And then also – how do we manage their performance reviews? 

It becomes a massive cost exercise to fly people all over, especially managers – to go and sit with the team and do performance management reviews one-on-one. That is how the engagement platform actually originated; how we started implementing it for ourselves internally – to make sure we can actually get that process to the point where we can save money. At the same time, giving the people the best outcome – both for the company and for the employee

It’s not a bias thing – it’s actually an interactive process where people can engage from the start through the 365 days. At the end of the day, when the review is done, they’re all on the same page, and are able to manage properly (prior to anything that might be a big concern or something that could be a big impact on the performance of the business or the employees themselves). 

That is where we as a company started from. We’re very, very excited about what we offer to our clients. At the same time, we’re also excited about what we offer as part of the internal process to our own people, and how we can manage them. We also see the results from implementing the system to support them as well. 

In a nutshell, that is who we are. It’s George and I, and then we’ve got a very nice staff complement that has been with the company for many years. And that’s a nice thing for us is how the people integrated into the business and worked with us. They grew and saw the vision of what we wanted to achieve, and that got us to the point where we are currently today.

The Finance Ghost: Fantastic. I’m so tempted to ask if it’s a “plumber’s tap-type” situation and if your own internal performance review process with your own staff works so well. No, I’m just kidding. 

Well, what is cool is to see how you went and built a business that feels like it solves problems that you had in your previous business, which I think is great. And it’s amazing how many entrepreneurial stories actually follow that kind of path, where it’s saying, “I wish this thing existed, hence I’m going to build it”. 

That’s basically what The Finance Ghost is. I looked at it and thought, well, I wish that people could have better access to investment insights and a more experienced business voice writing about the markets, as opposed to a lot of traditional-type media outlets. And here we are today. So that’s what you’ve got to do sometimes – you’ve just got to build the thing that you wish existed in the world. 

And the other point that you’ve raised there, Manie, which I like, is the concept of avoiding a negative surprise around the time of a performance review, because that is actually such a strong point. 

If you arrive for your performance review and that’s when you find out that all is not well, then it’s actually your manager’s fault more than it’s your fault. Because you just haven’t been given ongoing feedback, and you haven’t been given a chance to make it work. You’re probably being managed out of the organisation, if that’s happening to you. That’s the reality.

Manie Van Greunen: Correct. If one person could do everything in a business, that would have been the ultimate. But we know it’s not possible – and that’s why we need people in a business. The problem sometimes is that a manager or a person in the business doesn’t always give the feedback to management quickly enough, or to the staff itself. It creates a problem; it creates a negative impact when it comes to performance reviews. 

And we know that when people do say, yeah, we’re going to do a performance review, it’s like, “Oh, we’re really going to have to do this now again”. People don’t always believe in it because it’s most of the time a one-sided scenario. 

But in saying that, we’ve learned through this. And you rightly said that we actually went through the pitfalls of sending people all over doing things, trying to make sure we do performance management properly to make it a reciprocal thing, not just for the business, but for the employees as well. 

And it took us a bit of time, but we got to the point where we got a system that actually looked after both parties. They feel part of it – it’s not always for the purposes of getting people engaged in other systems or products or anything like that, but at the end of the day, it basically brings them closer to the business when they feel that you’re actually doing something to make sure they feel engaged. Helping them try to grow within the business and doing things that assist them as well.

Because we know – if people are successful, the company is successful – it’s a reciprocal thing. And I think that is where we’re very excited about how we can help people – by achieving that in the long term.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, I like that. So Manie, I can see you kind of naturally step into the spokesperson role. But George, I don’t doubt that you’ve been absolutely integral to this journey. Maybe give me a sense, George, of the roles you each play and why you feel like it’s been a good team. Was your previous business also the two of you together? Have you been doing this for a long time?

George Van Greunen: We’ve been doing this since 2002. I think why we work so well together, as you mentioned, is that Manie is more from a sales perspective; a spokesperson role. I’m more on a technical side, driving the back end. I think that’s what’s helping us to grow the business in the way we do. 

If we were the same type of people, we might have bumped heads a bit. But in this case, we’ve got good, defined roles – so we can actually achieve what we need to achieve.

The Finance Ghost: I wanted to say the clearly defined role aspect is actually something that’s come through on this podcast season before, because we’ve had, for example, married couples who have done businesses together, siblings, friends, business partners – whatever the case may be, it always feels like the road to success is to have these clearly defined roles rather than if you both bring exactly the same skills. Then all you’re doing is: same skill set, double the overhead. You’re not actually building something complementary.

You need someone who fixes your blind spots. That’s what inevitably makes a good team. 

And of course, so much of that comes through in performance reviews, right? It’s about saying, “What are your KPIs, what is your job, what do you bring to this machine – and how do you make it better?” and then you get judged accordingly. That’s how this entire thing works. That’s how organisations function. 

I think in understanding more about Olympia, I want to move into how you guys are very much a technology company, first and foremost. Software seems to be central to what you do. Exciting space. But my feed on X (previously Twitter) at the moment is AI slop after AI slop after AI slop. And a whole lot of posts about how software is about to get eaten by AI, and Software-as-a-Service is dead. I’m sure, like with most things, it’s an extreme view and, whilst there might be a little bit of truth to it, I do think that it’s way more complex than that. 

I want to talk about that later, but in order to get to that conversation, I need to ask you more about some of the solutions, specifically around the digital solutions that you offer.

You’ve touched on some of the problems that you solve. But maybe for someone listening to this, who’s going, “Oh, that’s interesting”, can you just give us a bit of a lay of the land in terms of the actual software solutions that you do offer? And then, I’m super keen to understand how you do that and the role that AI might play in that, in years to come. So let’s start with the solutions themselves.

Manie Van Greunen: 100%. We describe ourselves as a technology company first because of the software at the core of everything we do. We have a team doing different things in the business. But we build digital platforms, develop custom software, and help organisations implement systems that drive measurable performance and outcomes. 

We want to make sure that the systems we do take out to clients are user-friendly. Things where people can see the value – that they can use and immediately get results from – that can actually make a huge impact in the business and the system as well. 

So a key differentiator for us is the combination of the CRM system and the customer nurturing part of the app itself – built-in with the performance management and the reward system. So we know there are a lot of companies doing CRM, and there are a lot of companies doing performance management. There are people doing reward systems. But we’ve actually put this all together in one. 

So it helps to manage the staff performance goals and productivity in real time. It sounds too good to be true, but we try to get something where people can instantly, on a leaderboard, on the dashboard, see how it actually tracks within a business from a company perspective. 

To be able to visually see where these pain areas, or areas that they need to address, makes a huge difference. Especially if you want to grow your business in a positive way, make sure that your revenue improves, and that everything that you do is benefitting both parties. 

We also offer software development, testing, implementation consulting, and ongoing platform support. We do a lot of various things in the software area.

Testing is quite critical as well. You have to test something before you take it live. And most companies will know that if they’ve done internal projects. If you do not test properly and you go live, and something happens, you will 99% of the time lose people’s interest or the customer’s interest, because they don’t want to sit with the app or anything they use that’s not working (or it’s giving them problems the whole time) or anything like that. Then it becomes a negative. So we try to move away from it. 

So we do proper testing, and we’ve got a massive amount of experience in that area. And then we’ve got very good developers (from a development perspective) to support the process, but also support our customers. So it becomes a nice family-type team business that we hand to our clients, and we actually give them the benefit of it as well. 

Moving companies from a manual, fragmented process to real-time, data-driven performance across both people and customers is ultimately one of our big goals. To make sure we assist customers in achieving that as well.

The Finance Ghost: Interesting. That was quite cool to hear. I think there was a farm vehicle reversing in the background there? But you are literally on a farm. You are there getting to know their businesses, for better or worse, for farm vehicles or otherwise. 

And I love that Venn diagram that you referenced there. CRM, customer-nurturing came through, performance management, rewards. I can tell that this is software by entrepreneurs for entrepreneurs. It speaks directly to the lifeblood of any business, which is revenue. Anyone who has run a business is very, very aware that you manage from revenue down, because if there’s no revenue, then you don’t need any of the other stuff.

So if your performance management is not directly addressing how you either make money or actively support someone making money, then it just doesn’t make sense in a small business. Big organisations can get away with huge compliance teams that are very far away from the customers, which is necessary for many of those organisations. They’re either highly-regulated, or multinational. They have a lot of complexities that create that need. 

But for a lot of SMEs and entrepreneurs, they need stuff that is actually linked to revenue. So I think that’s a pretty interesting take on it. Trying to link the software to the actual lifeblood of the business. Right?

Manie Van Greunen: You’re 100% spot on there, I must say, apologies – like we say, business has to go on, and people need to make sure that they’re productive and actually get their business growing. So it’s an interesting journey for us, being part of the farming industry, helping them as well.

You’re absolutely right in saying that there are so many things that impact any business from a growth perspective. And if you don’t make money, what’s the future of the business? The main thing is, people need to believe in the future – and obviously be part of that growth to make sure that both themselves and the company are successful.

The Finance Ghost: You did warn me that a bokkie might find its way into this podcast. That would be an unusual interruption. So far, we’ve only had a farm vehicle, but it’s certainly authentic.

Let’s move on then, into gamification, which is one of the tools that you do use to drive engagement. And this tells me that companies struggle to actually get employees to use these digital tools. 

Again, I have got experience in really big corporates and they would go to great lengths to get people to adopt the tools, et cetera. There is a carrot and stick approach, right? There’s the “You will do this, or…” approach, which is one way to run a business, I guess, and the other way is to try to make it a bit more enjoyable.

There’s a spectrum. I would argue that either end is probably wrong. You want to be somewhere in the middle, but it’s obviously nicer if you can add some gamification elements and that kind of thing. Maybe walk us through the leaderboards, for example, which speaks to competitive organisations, which I think drives better performance. 

Maybe just talk us through some of the tools that you use to actually improve adoption in these organisations, which sounds like it’s one of your key selling points of the system.?

Manie Van Greunen: The biggest challenge is adoption. I used to be in different industries before; always been in sales as well. How do you measure people? From a sales perspective, I want to sell, I don’t want to work on systems. And my response was, “Please don’t give me something easier to do if I have to spend more time with it, I sell less” – whatever the case might be.

But what we’ve tried to do is bring a system together for the people to be able to do things quickly and efficiently. They don’t have to spend all day on it. 

We’re not replacing the current systems they have. We actually either integrate with them or actually complement them. But what we do is, we try to make it a quick, very easy process where they can just log, and do what they need to do, and go and do the sales at the company, and actually promote themselves and grow. 

That forms part of any partner business – a finance role, HR, or any part in the business – will get the benefit of doing it in a very quick, easy way. From a performance perspective on the daily task, from a work perspective, they need to do so.

We know that companies invest in digital tools, but employees and teams don’t always use these consistently.

So we’ve had that same problem where people say, you know, “We’re not going to take part of this because we don’t feel the benefit of this”. The adoption rate sometimes is a bit slow, but what we try to do is to make it a little bit exciting, but also at the same time try to get all these things together that it makes sense for somebody to use it. So some of our customers, in the beginning gave a lot of pushback, and said, “Oh no, we’re not going to use this because you know what, we know what we’re doing”. 

And funnily enough… what helps is if you have a leaderboard placed in a strategic place in a company (a boardroom or in a cafeteria, wherever people are usually getting together to talk a bit, and everybody’s faces are on that leaderboard). If the person who’s not really wanting to engage is not there, at a point they get to the stage where say, “You know what? I would actually like to have my face up there. I would like to participate because I feel a little bit left out now”.

And then they see it’s not saying they have to do this. It’s about trying to be part of a team, wanting to do things together. And the way we achieve this, through gamification, provides a very broad spectrum of how you can do things. 

We know that there are different ways of doing gamification. What we do from our side to help the client, help the employee to actually achieve this, is to use leaderboards. Leaderboards provide an effective tool to see how people are progressing, how they’re competing with each other, and how they’re achieving things – where there are quick problem areas you can address. 

Because you’ll see if somebody’s not engaging, they’re not going to be on a leaderboard – or they’re going to have a 0% on the leaderboard. Those are the things you target and work on to uplift that employee and make sure they achieve what they need to, and see where there’s a problem you can fix. 

We do goal tracking,so there are certain goals they have to achieve. We use team and collaboration tools within our product. They can work as teams together; achieve certain goals together. That makes it so much more attractive when people can see they’ve done something and they can see the result visually as well. 

This is active management – we have the management looking into this, assisting and driving support to the employee to say, “You know what, I’m management, but I’m also getting measured on this”. So, you know, we work together, we made this successful, and then we’ve got a reward mechanism built into it. So if you achieve certain goals and certain targets, there is a reward system that’s built into it. 

But it’s totally up to the company side how they manage it. So we don’t dictate and say you have to do this as a reward. We advise, and we can guide, but we have certain reward processes built into it. It’s a cash reward system. And there are different ways of just giving a thumbs-up or even a gold badge or a silver badge or whatever they achieve. 

People don’t always just need a financial reward; they sometimes need recognition. And unbelievably to say, people sometimes sit in the business, they never get an “Oh, thank you, you’ve done a good job”, or “Thank you for this”, or “You know what, well done, you’ve achieved this”. They actually appreciate that. So we try to improve and enhance and help people to get to that, to be able to help the staff in different ways from a reward perspective as well. 

That’s trying to make sure that we keep the staff and the business motivated and aligned. And it is sometimes difficult, but once you’ve got that process embedded, it’s a free-flowing system people get used to, and work on it very quickly and very easily as well. 

And on the other side, the workflow and the engagement tracking help ensure that the customers are actively nurtured rather than passively managed. With the CRM site, we’ve picked up a lot of clients sitting with a huge amount of Excel sheets with line data. 

It’s not helping them much because all the data is sitting on Excel. We know how it works. You know, you’re not always an Excel expert or getting onto the system and trying to remember things, when was the last dated birthday or anything like that. 

You can import that into the system and immediately you’ve got access to all those clients. 

You can nurture them, and you can work with them, and it tracks what you’ve done with the client and you could ease through it. So there’s a lot of things that give that benefit for how you grow yourself in the business, how you grow your clients and actually make everybody successful. 

And ultimately it’s about making performance, both employee and customer, visible, measurable and actionable in real time. And that is the key thing. If you have that combination right, it boils down to the bottom line, and you actually achieve better performance and reward, at the end of the day. 

George Van Greunen: I just wanted to add to what Manie was saying. Once you’ve got that leaderboard on, it becomes healthy competition because it’s a human thing. If you first and I’m second and we’ve got a Mauritius trip that’s coming up, I want to push to be first and you want to stay first because you want to get it. So suddenly the employee scores and the company scores.

The Finance Ghost: My cousin married an ex-air force pilot. He now flies commercial internationally and he had this great comment about surviving the air force where he said: “The best way to survive is don’t come first, don’t come last and don’t attract attention”. Good survival instinct there. Although I’ve got to say, if coming first gets you to Mauritius, then maybe people would see that a little bit differently. They might aim for the top of the leaderboard. 

Another fun story is one of my first bosses in my financial services career, he had this great line where he said to me, “Since money was invented, there’s only one way to say thank you”. Which has basically stayed with me for life. 

It’s pretty funny, but it’s also not how a lot of people want to be managed. If you’re in a very money driven environment like investment banking, then sure, I don’t think it’s about gold stars and recognition, I think it’s about bonuses. 

But for most industries, a lot of it is about how you feel at work and the amount that you’re contributing and everything else. And it’s a mix of these things and it’s about managing the human being. That’s what makes it so interesting, is people are different.

Maybe that’s a good point for me to bring this new world of AI into this. AI is very different to people. AI doesn’t need to get a pat on the head and for you to say “well done” and get a bonus. Although a lot of the way these models are written, they seem to flourish actually from basically blowing smoke up your own you-know-what and then getting it back from you. That’s a story for another day. 

What I want to understand is, as a software business, which is what you guys are at the end of the day – I keep reading as an investor about how AI is going to cause a lot of trouble in this world, etc.

Maybe it is, maybe it isn’t. You guys are the experts here. I’m dead keen to get your insights because I think it’s relevant to anyone listening to the show.

What’s your view on how AI might either impact or improve your business, perhaps? And what are you seeing from clients? Are they asking you about it, or is it a bubble on my social media that hasn’t quite made it into SMEs yet?

Manie van Greunen: AI is going to shift software from being a system of record to a system of intelligence. Your question right at the end is from a client perspective, wherever we go, that’s on the tip of their tongue. They always want to ask, “Have you got AI integrated in the system? What can AI bring to the party?”

It is inevitable that they have to basically adapt from a business perspective because that is the way of the future. We still believe that AI can’t replace everything. So it’s always going to have to be that human touch. There’s going to be things that we as people think of differently, and that will evolve over time. It’s a big thing on everybody’s mind, and if you’re not going to go that route, you’re probably going to be left out in the dry. 

In performance management, AI will definitely predict this engagement, recommend interventions and automate coaching insights. So you can just imagine the value of that when people can use some of these AI tools to actually assist them with a performance journey, if you want to call it that. Where they can get the systems to implement, and at the same time roll it out to the staff in a very positive way. 

You know, we’re not saying AI must replace it. AI doesn’t know your business; you know your business. You need to have a lot of input in that to actually achieve that. But it will definitely help.

In the CRM system; customer management AI will definitely personalise, nurture, predict and optimise sales pipelines. And it will be a quick way to try and get the people to understand where there are gaps and where there are seeds they need to look at and enhance. 

Unfortunately, AI… I’ve had my thoughts about AI for a long time in positive and negative ways. It’s not something where we as a company can say, “Okay, I know we’re not going to go that route, we’d be fools not to do that”. We’re actually (to a certain extent) very excited about it – because we’ve seen (its value) in small things when we did use it – and it did make a huge difference. And that excites me.

Where it’s going to end up, that’s a different question. The technology evolves so quickly, and these AI tools are actually amazing.

SaaS companies that integrate AI deeply into workflows will thrive, and the people that are really doing it are seeing the results on a daily basis. Those that remain static with dashboards eetc. will struggle. We try to be in tune with the times and wherever that journey takes us, it’s always exciting because it gives us an opportunity to look at things differently. 

The current market reflects uncertainty about business models. Intelligent software is only increasing, and bringing AI into it is just going to give the market that opportunity to actually do things quicker and do things differently. Being in business for quite a while, when it started off, I just said, “AI – what is this going to be?”. 

Looking into what the companies achieved and how it’s actually helped personally, not just even in our app and business and certain things that I needed to get some insight into, it was amazing the quickness of it, now it can actually help you. So ya, from that point of view it’s inevitable. 

My view is that we have to adapt to that, and any company out there has to adapt.

And I’d love to flip this back to you a little bit. What do you see? How is AI changing the way leaders manage people and customers in the future?

The Finance Ghost: It is interesting. In my world, I’ve been trying to use it more for research because it helps a lot – the natural language questions versus searching by keyword, I think that just comes more naturally. That’s why it’s called natural language, right? It’s because you’re asking a question to the machine that you would have asked your friend next to you. Now you can just ask your AI. 

Quality of answers varies, I have found. I gave myself two days where I basically tried to work almost exclusively with Copilot in Microsoft. It just makes sense in my business to use Copilot.

I fed it a whole lot of my writing – my intention is never that it does the output because then I’m going to lose interest in my own business very quickly. My writing will start to sound like AI, which sounds like everyone else, which is exactly the way to make yourself redundant. But I did want to see what it was actually capable of.

I see it as a research tool, and it was a little bit exhausting to use, to be honest. For that day, I found that I got maybe some additional insights. But you have to sift through so much stuff, and no matter how much you tell it to just give you quick answers and to not put all the fluff and everything else (into it), you can see how much design has gone into trying to make this thing sound like the nicest person you’ve ever spoken to in your whole life. “And aren’t you just great? And of course you would ask that question, because you’re so clever”. 

It’s a bit gross, actually, in some respects. And I know that the different systems will do different things, and you can obviously tell it to do different things and everything.

I’ve seen a lot of interesting stuff online. Claude seems to be super powerful (what people are doing with integrations into Excel and PowerPoint). I think back to how much of my time as a junior analyst in investment banking was spent on that stuff and how much of that might now go away. 

And I guess my overarching worry is around junior staff. And I just hope that we don’t get to a world where 20-somethings – who have gone the route of becoming a professional in something – actually can’t find work because no one is hiring them (because they’re hiring AI instead). 

Where will tomorrow’s professionals then come from? That would be a big mess. And I think there is going to be quite a big mess that will have to get sorted out from a regulatory perspective. No one really knows. 

But I also don’t buy the story that someone in a finance team somewhere is going to sit and “vibe code” a solution instead of using their accepted enterprise-level, SaaS solution for finance. I think there are a lot of skunk-work-type projects going on out there that are driving this demand for AI. 

We know that a lot of it is just this big circular reference right now of Microsoft, OpenAI, Nvidia and friends. How much of it is real? No one really knows. 

I can see that there will be some application of this thing. I actually saw a meme on the socials this morning because obviously my feed is just full of AI now. And it was a cartoon of a farmer speaking to a horse. He said to the horse, “Don’t worry, you won’t be replaced by the tractor. You’ll be replaced by the horse that learns how to use the tractor”.

Didn’t help the horse so much, did it? Humans are not horses, of course. We’re hopefully a bit more adaptable. It’s a lot to think about. It’s a hectic thought process to go through.

Manie Van Greunen: I agree with you. The big thing is, there’s the other side of it as well that enhances people, to make sure that they grow. Because a lot of people want to be stagnant in one position. This is sometimes going to force people to get out of that comfort zone and actually start growing. So, there’s a negative side and a positive side. I think that’s more the positive side.

And within our application, we’re starting to use that to actually build people, not just user-tested AI replacing people, if I can put it that way.

The Finance Ghost: That’s the right way to think about it.

Obviously the two of you are very focused on systems and people, and I think just doing things the right way. I think that comes through a lot. And in your choice of bank, I do want to touch on that.

You were previously with Mercantile and then you obviously stayed with them as Capitec acquired Mercantile. Again, for someone listening to this, go back and listen to the previous episode in this series where I got to speak to top execs at Capitec Business about building that bank. Some fascinating stories and some really deep insights into Capitec’s DNA. 

And let’s face it, Capitec is the best business story in democratic South Africa. The numbers are what they are. That’s the reality. So you guys have stuck with them from the Mercantile days into Capitec business and all the success they’ve had.

I’m just curious, as systems-type people, you’ve obviously liked what you’ve seen, right?

Manie Van Greunen: Yes. As far as that goes, I must say it’s actually been a pleasurable journey for us.

When we actually signed up with Mercantile right in the beginning, we knew that they were a business bank, something different from the traditional ABSA and the rest of the banking out there. We never envisioned that Capitec was going to take over Mercantile Bank. But the journey just grew better and better. 

From Mercantile moving to Capitec bank, that was a pleasurable, enjoyable move for us. The way that Capitec manages the bank, the Capitec app itself – it’s all so user-friendly. The way they treated us – we probably wouldn’t have grown our business to the point where we are without them. They were a big part of our business. They were a big part of how we actually achieved things. 

I’m sitting here in the Free State with a farmer – we had the same discussion just before the podcast about Capitec and said how easy it is actually to go and open a bank account with them, how to do a business account, and the way the system just fits in together. 

We’re doing system applications and software that people can use. I think they can learn a lot from the Capitec Bank’s platform itself. It is so user-friendly, it’s actually so nice to use. 

And then it comes down to the people. We’ve had a lot of dealings with different people within Capitec Bank, from a personal perspective on just Capitec and then in Capitec Business. And the service has been great. All the banks are following them. I think they are leaders in what they do. 

And personally, (in my experience with) Capitec, with a Global One account in the personal side and how they do it on the business side, they stay ahead of the bunch. They do things differently; they’re innovative. And we like that because that’s what we want to do. We try to be innovative and do things differently. And we learn a lot from them as well in that regard.

The Finance Ghost: Absolutely. I’ve read T.J. Strydom’s book about Capitec, Stalking Giants. It’s a worthwhile read. One of the biggest takeaways that I got from it was that they really focused on getting a few things absolutely right. And it’s a great example of that strategy. I know, speaking for myself and looking at your business, this is where I want to ask my last question with the time that I have with you guys – it’s around building out different parts of a business.

All of us have that feeling where you need a little bit of diversification, right? It’s one thing to build a very big business that is focused. And obviously, if what you’re focusing on works beautifully, then that’s the dream.

Entrepreneurs have that optimism, but we also all have that fear where something goes wrong. And if you’ve only built one line of business, that can be lethal.

Something that’s interesting with your business is that you do have some revenue diversification angles, which is common. It’s something adjacent to what you’re doing. I’ve seen placements, I’ve seen outsourcing. 

I wanted to end off with firstly the logic there, why you do this; and then secondly, advice you have for other entrepreneurs on the need to balance focus versus diversification. Because I struggle with this myself, basically every day.

Manie Van Greunen: It’s a thing that we also sometimes struggle with. But in our life, in being in business, we’ve made some good decisions, we’ve made some bad decisions, we bumped our heads. The one thing that always comes back to us is the saying, “Don’t keep all your eggs in one basket”.

In saying that, we don’t mean you have to open multiple businesses. That’s also a good thing. If you do open multiple businesses, please just open them with Capitec Bank because they’re going to take you places in any case.

But in saying that, if we just did software development, it’s a long process. Things have changed over time. Apps are being developed a bit quicker as well. But we realised many, many years ago that there are different areas that support the whole process. From offering total outsourced solutions (development from beginning-to-end, to deliverables where they take the app live, like a one-stop shop – we can actually help them with that), to just giving them a resource. They might be in demand for somebody can help them with the internal projects they want to do. 

In our previous business we also had placements of a lot of people in different areas. Most of them were in the development space, but they were also in the business requirement space; even the testing space within different areas within the IT infrastructure and the business side.

When we do technology – we need to speak to developers, we need to speak to business, we need to make sure we get all these parties together to make sure everything is successful. 

Apart from the app development (Olympia Engage), we also have the outsourcing of projects, placements of resources, where we assist customers to achieve what they want. We personally search for these people, usually for a network of people who we know can give an immediate benefit to their client. But also people that we know personally who could assist. We don’t know all the people in the market, but we try to help people with people that we’ve dealt with in the last 20, 30 years, that can make a difference.

For entrepreneurs like us in the business, diversification works when it deepens your ecosystem. So stay close to your core capability by staying disciplined about execution, and ensure new services reinforce your strategy and your strengths.

In our case, we are very strong in the app space, and in the software development space where we developed our apps. We also support that with complementary areas. We make sure that the whole offering is a successful and enjoyable experience to clients. 

At the same time, the client gets the benefit of having access to very good people. It also gives you a little bit of space in the business so that if your development side is going a bit slowly, you have a different income stream that you can tap into from resourcing as well.

Helping customers to get the right people offers a little bit of a different view. I always say to companies out there, if you’re good at something, you stick to that. But always look at areas that are complementary to what you do, and you can actually offer a service that’s an income generator for your business as well.

It makes a huge impact, especially during quiet times in the business. And we all know we all go through that unfortunately. But it also keeps you on your toes to make sure that you actually grow your business.

The Finance Ghost: Yeah, the plan is always to focus on what you’re really good at. But it’s that Mike Tyson quote, right? “Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth”. And when life punches you in the mouth, having a bit of diversification, having another mouth is quite nice. The one that hasn’t been punched today!

That’s life as an entrepreneur. Something that Capitec understands, I understand, and you clearly understand as well. 

I think that’s probably all we have time for. I’m keen to direct people to the right place if they’d like to learn more about Olympia and chat to you guys about the services that you offer. What is the best way for someone to contact you and find out more?

Manie Van Greunen: They can go to our website, www.olympiahld.com, or they can contact me or George very easily at manie@ompiahld.com or george@olympiahld.com, and we’ll gladly assist where we can. We can’t assist with everything, (but) we can send people in the right direction. 

From our side, thank you very much for the opportunity. We were very excited to be part of this journey, with the whole business, with you now, with Capitec. It’s exciting for us. Being based in South Africa, being here in one of the most beautiful countries in the world, we’re super excited about what we are still going to achieve – and what we are going to be able to enable people to achieve, in the future.

The Finance Ghost: Absolutely. Manie, George, thank you so much for your time on this podcast and all the best to you both with the business. Very cool, what you’ve built, and I wish you both a lot of success, and to the teams on that side.

I’ll include in the show notes, the links to the websites, etc., so people can easily find you. And thank you! Manie, George – all the best.

Manie Van Greunen: Thanks to Capitec. Thanks for this awesome journey, for this awesome podcast. I believe what you’re doing is going to be very successful and value-adding to people out there. So thank you very much for your time, and effort, as well. 

George Van Greunen: Thanks to you and Capitec for making this podcast worthwhile.

The Finance Ghost: Lovely. Ciao, bye.

Ghost Bites (Mahube Infrastructure | MC Mining | MTN Uganda | Remgro | SA Corporate Real Estate | Texton | York Timber)

Mahube Infrastructure has released the offer circular (JSE: MHB)

This relates to the firm intention announcement published on 9 December

After a few delays, Mahube Infrastructure has finally distributed the circular related to the cash offer by Sustent Holdings of R5.50 per Mahube share.

Sustent Holdings is a special purpose vehicle put together by a group of investors, including a fund managed by Mergence Investment Managers.

Mahube is off the beaten track on the JSE, so you would easily be forgiven for not being familiar with it. Mahube owns three solar PV farms and two wind farms. These assets sell electricity to Eskom under 20-year power purchase agreements.

The company listed as a special purpose acquisition company (remember those?) in 2015, with R500 million in capital raised as part of that listing. Due to the difficulties in trying to build a small cap on the local market, that was the first and last time that it raised capital.

With the share price languishing at a deep discount to the net asset value (a whopping R10.25 as at August 2025), it’s not a huge surprise that an acquirer pounced on this thing.

The 30-day VWAP prior to the cautionary announcement in August was R4.13, so the offer price of R5.50 is a significant premium to that level.

However, the offer is so far below the net asset value per share that it even comes in below the fair value range determined by the independent expert. The expert has guided a range of R6.42 to R6.72 per share.

This means that the offer price is unfair, but reasonable. You won’t see this too often.

Given the lower historical traded prices and the premium being offered to shareholders, the board has proposed the scheme to shareholders to give them a chance to exit at this price.

Weirdly, the share price closed 13.6% higher on the day at R6.03 on thin volumes. It flaps around between R5.50 and R6.00, as though some shareholders are betting on a better offer arriving at some point.

The other angle here is that these investors might be looking to back the story over the longer term, as there is the ability under the scheme to make a “continuation election” to retain shares.

The scheme meeting is scheduled for 15 April.


MC Mining: heavy losses and a suspension of operations at Uitkomst (JSE: MCZ)

Full focus is on the Makhado project

MC Mining released results for the six months to December 2025. The numbers are unfortunately still in the red, with a headline loss per share of 1.22 cents (vs. a loss of 1.83 cents in the comparable period).

Thanks to lower sales volumes at Uitkomst and weaker thermal coal prices, revenue fell by 22%. But here’s the really bad news: they recognised a gross loss of $4.5 million vs. a gross loss of $4.2 million in the comparable period.

Your eyes are not deceiving you – they lose money on everything they sell, even before we get to operating expenses.

Clearly, the existing operations are broken. They are so broken that the board is suspending operations at Uitkomst Colliery. There is literally no point in operating with a gross loss, something you’ll almost never see.

The only reason there is any value in this company is because of the Makhado Project, with hot commissioning scheduled for April 2026. Kinetic Development Group has been subscribing for shares in the company to fund this opportunity. This is a premium hard coking coal opportunity that should change the trajectory of the group.

To give you an idea of how important it is, the share price is up 208% over 12 months despite the losses!


MTN Uganda keeps delivering (JSE: MTN)

This has been their most dependable (alas, not the biggest) African subsidiary

MTN has released results for MTN Uganda for the year ended December 2025. You won’t see the year-on-year recovery that is visible in Nigeria and Ghana, mainly because Uganda wasn’t broken to begin with!

MTN Uganda grew total subscribers by 10% and service revenue by 13.4%. EBITDA increased by 17.0%, with EBITDA margin moving 160 basis points higher to 53.8%.

Adjusted profit after tax was up 23.1%. This is actually the correct metric to use, rather than the 5.8% increase in profit after tax that was impacted by a tax settlement.

The total dividend increased by 27.2%, so there’s also no shortage of cash in the system. This is despite the 28.5% increase in capex to take advantage of opportunities in the country.

Uganda is expecting economic growth of 6.5% to 7% in 2026. Imagine if we could get anywhere close to that in South Africa?


Will Remgro’s trading statement prove to be useful? (JSE: REM)

HEPS is the wrong metric here

Remgro has released a trading statement for the six months to December 2025. They use HEPS as their metric, rather than net asset value (NAV) per share. This is an issue because the market values Remgro (an investment holding company) based on its NAV, not its HEPS.

You might think that a strong positive move in HEPS also means a solid uptick in NAV, but it isn’t always that simple. We will have to wait for the results to come out on 25 March to be sure.

In the meantime, we know that HEPS will be between 36% and 41% higher for the interim period. One would certainly hope that such a positive move also translates into decent NAV growth.


SA Corporate Real Estate has a few (thousand) apartments to sell you (JSE: SAC)

This is an unusual fund by JSE standards

SA Corporate Real Estate has released results for the year ended December 2025. Although distributable income per share was only up by 6%, they increased the payout ratio and moved the distribution higher by 9%. Net property income was up by 6.2% though, so I would see this as mid-single digits growth on a sustainable basis.

The balance sheet is stable, with the loan-to-value ratio of 42.1% being very similar to 42.0% in the prior year. Thanks to a decrease in the cost of debt, net finance costs improved by 4.7% vs. the prior year.

Here’s a blemish on the numbers though: the net asset value (NAV) per share decreased by 5.3% to 420 cents. The new independent valuer is described as having “more prudent valuation assumptions” which is rather interesting. There were other factors as well, like the issue of shares during the year at a discount to NAV per share.

The company has no remaining exposure to office properties, other than the one they occupy themselves. This leaves them with a portfolio that looks similar to what investors are used to seeing (i.e. a mix of retail and industrial with positive rental reversions), along with a residential portfolio that is very unusual among the REITs.

If you’ve ever managed a buy-to-let investment that has made you feel tired, then get ready for this: SA Corporate Real Estate has 15,600 apartments! 65% are suburban and 35% are inner-city apartments.

They are targeting 3,000 apartment sales over the next three years, with 1,000 planned for 2026 for a total sales value of R460 million.

In the 818 apartment sales achieved in 2025, they received prices that were 87% better than the acquisition price and 35% above the book value. That’s obviously a great return, but it’s a lot of work to manage this portfolio.

Another unusual element of the portfolio is the exposure to Zambia, where the macroeconomic picture improved tremendously in the past year. Distributiable income was up by double digits in 2026.

What is your view on opportunistic dealmaking by property funds, like the decision to buy the large portfolio of apartments and sell them over time?

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Should companies stay in their lane?

How do you feel about opportunistic dealmaking?


Texton’s NAV per share was impacted by a return of capital to shareholders (JSE: TEX)

But this doesn’t explain the dip in distributable income per share

Texton Property Fund released results for the six months to December 2025. The fund has been returning capital to shareholders, so this naturally leads to a decrease in the net asset value per share, as the company is literally choosing to make itself smaller.

In September 2025, they declared a return of capital of 63.87 cents. This explains most (but not all) of the decrease in NAV per share, from 574.61 cents as at June 2025 to 503.23 cents as at December 2025.

The dip in performance continues in other metrics, with distributable earnings impacted by asset sales in the UK. Even though the South African portfolio’s net operating income was up by 4%, the group’s distributable earnings fell by 4.2%. Distributable income per share was down by a similar percentage.

Notably, the loan-to-value ratio has moved up from 25.3% to 29.7% due to the outflow of cash to shareholders. If you remove cash from the balance sheet, it effectively increases the leverage in the system even if the debt balances are steady.


York Timber generated far more cash in this period (JSE: YRK)

HEPS growth is positive, but not by much

York Timber released a voluntary trading statement for the six months to December 2025. The fact that this is “voluntary” tells you that the movement in HEPS is less than 20%.

They guide a HEPS uplift of between 1.82% and 6.78%. There’s a number further up the income statement that is concerning though, with EBITDA before fair value adjustments dropping by between 41% and 46%. The fair value adjustments cause significant distortions, so this is an important metric that has gone sharply the wrong way.

Cash generated from operations is a much prettier story, up by between 127% and 132%.

There are some wild swings here, so investors will need to read carefully when the results come out on 31 March 2026.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • Des de Beer has bought shares in Lighthouse Properties (JSE: LTE) worth R10.2 million.
    • The non-executive chair of Supermarket Income REIT (JSE: SRI) bought shares worth R2.1 million.
    • Grindrod announced sales of shares by a few directors and senior execs. Two of the sales covered only the taxable portion of share awards, but there was also a sale worth R287k that wasn’t related to taxes.
    • The CEO of Argent Industrial (JSE: ART) bought shares worth nearly R40k.
  • Fortress Real Estate (JSE: FFB) will be offering investors a scrip dividend alternative, known as a capitalisation issue. Simply, this means the ability to receive the value of the dividend in the form of more shares in Fortress rather than cash. This helps Fortress retain cash on the balance sheet and is best thought of as a miniature rights issue. The shares will be priced at a 3% discount to the 30-day VWAP, so they are trying to incentivise shareholders to take the shares.
  • Exemplar REITail (JSE: EXP) released a circular related to the proposed changes to the share-based incentive scheme. They want to create an “equity ownership mindset” among key employees by being able to issue shares that vest immediately. The circular also includes a general authority to issue shares for cash (up to 10% of shares in issue based on the AGM in June 2025), with the company having identified a pipeline of acquisitions and development opportunities. These steps are dilutive to existing shareholders, so investors in this company will want to review the circular carefully.
  • Africa Bitcoin Corporation (JSE: BAC) announced some key metrics in the loan book at Altvest Credit Opportunities Fund. The book is now sitting with assets of R502 million, although the current loan book is R267 million vs. cash on hand of R156 million. I’m not quite sure why those two numbers don’t add up to R502 million. The average loan size is R5.9 million with an average term of 43 months and pricing of prime + 7.62%, giving you an idea of what it costs to borrow money as an SME. The provision for bad debts as a percentage of the loan book is 5.56%, showing you exactly why the cost of borrowing needs to be so high for SMEs.
  • ISA Holdings (JSE: ISA) renewed the cautionary announcement related to a non-binding expression of interest received from a potential offeror for the shares in the company. Negotiations between the parties are ongoing. At this stage, this isn’t a firm intention to make an offer, hence the need for shareholders to exercise caution.

The long history of an art form “nobody cares about”

A now-viral comment from actor Timothée Chalamet reignited an old cultural debate: do classical art forms like opera and ballet still matter?

Earlier this week, my social media feeds inexplicably exploded with clips of famous actors doing ballet – from pre-Spiderman Tom Holland in rehearsal for Billy Elliott, to Patrick Swayze and his seemingly gravity-defying jumps. While this was a refreshing change of pace from the usual mixture of American politics and AI doomsday theories that populate my feed, I knew immediately that there was nothing random about this algorithm shift.

People were deliberately seeking out and posting these videos, some of which were decades old. They were making a point, and that could only mean one thing. Somewhere, a person of influence had said something controversial, and now the arts community was up in arms. 

It didn’t take me long to track down the culprit: this unexpected cultural debate was sparked by an offhand remark from Dune star Timothée Chalamet.

Foot-in-mouth

The discussion – public and filmed – was about the future of cinema. Chalamet (who is currently hoping to get the Oscar nod for his latest film, Marty Supreme), was explaining why he feels protective of the medium he works in and why he wants to keep films culturally relevant in an era when audiences have more entertainment options than ever.

For some reason, he decided to make that point by saying this:

“I don’t want to be working in ballet, or opera, or things where it’s like, ‘hey, keep this thing alive, even though like no one cares about this anymore’. All respect to the ballet and opera people. I just lost 14 cents in viewership.”

Perhaps Chalamet merely meant to emphasise his point about cinema’s continuing popularity. But once the clip began circulating online, the reaction was swift. Opera houses, ballet companies and performers pointed out (sometimes politely, sometimes less so) that the art forms in question have survived centuries of social change, global wars and technological revolutions.

Some even made use of Chalamet’s foot-in-mouth moment to sell more seats:

Some critics also noted the irony of the situation. After all, Chalamet comes from a family with deep ties to the performing arts.

His mother, Nicole Flender, trained as a dancer, and his sister, Pauline Chalamet, also studied dance before pursuing acting. Due to his mother’s connections to ballet, Timothée spent his childhood in a federally subsidised artists’ building in Manhattan. He was also fast-tracked into the storied La Guardia High School of the Performing Arts thanks to his mother’s occupation.

Ballet, in other words, is not exactly an unfamiliar discipline in the Chalamet household – in fact, it is one that seems to have given young Timothée more than one boost up the ladder. 

Incidentally, his alma mater also had thoughts on his statement:

Nothing quite like being called out by your old high school principal on a public platform to humble you. Have some aloe vera for that burn, Timothée.

In fairness to Chalamet, he probably didn’t expect to trigger a global discussion about the relevance of classical art forms. Internet controversies rarely begin with that level of ambition. But if opera is truly an art form that nobody cares about anymore, it has been surviving that indifference for a remarkably long time. After all, it’s been around for more than 400 years.

How opera conquered Europe

Opera began in late 16th century Italy, as the result of a curious intellectual experiment. A group of writers and musicians in Florence became fascinated with ancient Greek theatre and began wondering whether those plays had once been sung rather than spoken. Their theory wasn’t entirely accurate, but the creative misunderstanding produced something unexpected: a new form of performance in which music and drama were fused into a single narrative experience. They named their new invention opera, which is the Italian word for “work”. 

Early operas were small affairs, staged in aristocratic courts with modest orchestras and simple staging. Yet the concept spread quickly. By the 17th century, public opera houses were appearing across Italy, allowing audiences beyond the nobility to attend performances. Before long the format had travelled across Europe, where composers began experimenting with increasingly elaborate musical storytelling.

The plots were rarely subtle. Opera thrived on grand emotions and high stakes: doomed romances, political betrayals, supernatural interventions, mistaken identities, tragic misunderstandings, and the occasional character dramatically collapsing after a poisoned drink. If modern cinema thrives on spectacle and emotional intensity, opera perfected the formula centuries earlier.

It also produced early celebrities. Opera singers became some of the most famous performers of their era, drawing crowds that travelled between cities to hear them sing. Fans debated their favourite voices, critics wrote detailed reviews of performances, and rivalries between singers became minor cultural events in their own right.

By the 19th century, opera had grown into a fully developed cultural ecosystem, complete with elaborate theatres, passionate audiences, and composers who wrote music designed to push the limits of the human voice. The art form would evolve repeatedly over the next century, but its core attraction remained consistent. Opera offered audiences a combination of storytelling, music, and spectacle that was difficult to replicate anywhere else.

Which helps explain why certain performers eventually became legends. One of the most famous of them all was a woman named Maria Callas.

The divine diva

Maria Callas was born in New York in 1923 to Greek immigrant parents. Her birth name – Maria Kalogeropoulos – was eventually shortened to the more stage-friendly Callas.

As a teenager she moved with her mother to Greece, where she studied singing at the Athens Conservatory. Teachers quickly realised that her voice was unusual. It possessed an extraordinary range, capable of navigating both delicate lyrical passages and dramatic climaxes that would overwhelm many other singers. Technical ability alone, however, does not explain why Callas became famous.

Opera had long produced impressive vocalists, but Callas approached performance with something closer to an actor’s sensibility. She treated each role as a dramatic character rather than simply a musical challenge. When she stepped onto the stage, she wasn’t just delivering a sequence of difficult notes. She was inhabiting a story – and audiences noticed immediately.

During the 1950s, Callas performed at some of the most prestigious opera houses in the world, including Milan’s Teatro alla Scala, London’s Royal Opera House, and New York’s Metropolitan Opera House. Critics praised her dramatic intensity, while fans began referring to her with a reverent nickname: La Divina – the divine one.

Her performances helped revive a repertoire known as bel canto opera, a 19th century style that had largely fallen out of fashion. Through her interpretations of composers like Bellini and Donizetti, Callas brought these works back into the spotlight and inspired opera companies around the world to stage them again.

In the late 1950s and early 1960s, her once-powerful voice began to deteriorate. The exact reasons remain debated; some blamed the demanding roles she performed in quick succession, while others pointed to the dramatic weight loss she underwent during the height of her fame. Whatever the cause, her vocal decline happened quickly. By the mid-1960s her performing career had largely ended, yet the legend – and the effect she had on her artform – endured.

Recordings of her performances continue to circulate decades after her death in 1977, and many opera historians still consider Callas one of the most influential artists of the 20th century. She helped redefine what audiences expected from opera performers by proving that emotional storytelling could be just as important as vocal power.

Not the moment for a cheap shot

This brings us back to Chalamet’s awkward remark.

Every generation seems convinced that certain art forms are dying. Theatre was supposedly doomed by cinema. Cinema was supposedly doomed by television. Television was supposedly doomed by streaming. Streaming, according to some observers, is now busy undermining the film industry itself.

Creative industries have always existed in a state of mild existential anxiety. Opera and ballet are not exceptions. They require large orchestras, highly trained singers or dancers, elaborate sets, and audiences willing to sit through a three-hour performance in a language they may not understand. These are not the kinds of things that are designed for the pace of modern attention spans, nor do they easily adapt to the algorithmic logic of online platforms.

Yet despite these challenges, many opera houses continue to fill seats. New productions are staged every year. Young singers train for years, often decades, to master the craft. Somewhere in the world tonight, a performer will step onto a stage and deliver an aria that audiences have been listening to for centuries.

In a moment when many artists worry about the future of creative work, from artificial intelligence generating images to streaming platforms reshaping entire industries, it might be worth remembering that the arts have always depended on a fragile ecosystem of mutual influence. Film borrows from theatre. Theatre borrows from literature. Music borrows from all of them.

Opera itself began as an experiment inspired by ancient drama, and over time it shaped the development of stage performance, orchestral music, and even cinematic storytelling. Artists like Maria Callas did more than simply preserve a tradition. They transformed it.

Which is why dismissing another art form has always felt slightly misguided, especially when it comes from someone working in the arts themselves. The creative world is less like a competition and more like a long conversation stretching across centuries. Every generation inherits the work of the last, whether it realises it or not.

Opera has been part of that conversation for more than 400 years. And if history is any guide, we’ll probably still be listening to our favourite arias long after the latest internet controversy has faded into silence.

About the author: Dominique Olivier

Dominique Olivier is the founder of human.writer, where she uses her love of storytelling and ideation to help brands solve problems.

She is a weekly columnist in Ghost Mail and collaborates with The Finance Ghost on Ghost Mail Weekender, a Sunday publication designed to help you be more interesting. She now also writes a regular column for Daily Maverick.

Dominique can be reached on LinkedIn here.

Ghost Bites (MTN Rwanda | Resilient REIT | Sanlam | Standard Bank | Woolworths)

MTN Rwanda swings from losses to profits (JSE: MTN)

Revenue and EBITDA margin have both improved

If you dig through the MTN Rwanda results, you’ll find restatements that impact the comparability of numbers and make things more complicated. But you’ll also find a profit after tax of Rwf 10.8 billion, which is a whole lot better than a loss after tax of Rwf 5.4 billion in the comparable period.

If we focus on the business rather than the noise in the numbers, total subscribers were up 7.4% and service revenue increased by 14.7%. This is exactly what you want to see in frontier markets like Rwanda, where the average revenue per user (ARPU) should be increasing over time as customers take more products.

EBITDA increased by 17.3%, with EBITDA margin moving 100 basis points higher to 35.8%.

As the cherry on top, capex (excluding leases) decreased by 8%. This means that it was a strong period for adjusted free cash flow, up by 34.5% for the year.


Double-digit dividend growth at Resilient (JSE: RES)

The retail-focused REIT is doing well

Resilient REIT has released results for the year ended December 2025. The company focuses on owning retail centres that have at least three anchor tenants. This certainly seems to be working, with the total dividend for 2025 coming in 11.4% higher than the prior year.

The South African portfolio achieved growth in net property income of 8.1% for the year. Retail sales in the portfolio increased by 4.9%. Lease renewals achieved positive reversions of 2.2%.

It’s also worth noting that Resilient is one of the many property companies in South Africa that have executed renewable energy projects to protect against Eskom-related inflation. Resilient takes it to the next level though, with an expectation that 43.2% of energy requirements will be provided by solar by the end of 2026.

In the offshore portfolio, the dividend from Lighthouse Properties (JSE: LTE) increased by 7.5% in euros, or 10.5% in rand. Resilient also has direct stakes in properties in France and Spain, with both regions showing positive growth. The company has recently been reducing the stake in Lighthouse, so it will be interesting to see how the offshore strategy develops.


A complicated period for Sanlam (JSE: SLM)

There are plenty of normalisation adjustments in these numbers

Sanlam has released results for the year ended December. As we already know from the recent operational update, they are complex results that reflect a significant drop in HEPS of 18%.

The dividend per share is up by 9% though, suggesting that HEPS may not be telling the full story here.

There were a number of major steps taken during the past two years that limit the comparability of 2025 to the prior year. This includes the cessation of the Capitec partnership, the integration of the Namibian holdings into SanlamAllianz, as well as the partial disposal of the direct stake in Shriram Finance – all in 2024. And in 2025, Sanlam reduced its interest in SanlamAllianz from 59.59% to 51%.

As you’re about to see, the difference between reported numbers and normalised numbers is significant.

New business volumes were up by 18% as reported, or 22% on a normalised basis, taking them to a record performance for the group. The margin mix is unfavourable though, which means that value of new business fell by 11% on a normalised basis.

The net result from financial services increased by 3% as reported, or 20% on a normalised basis. This metric will be replaced by operating profit going forwards.

Operational earnings fell 7%, with lower investment returns in the second half of 2025 as a major challenge. The strenghtening of the rand impacted the value of foreign-currency denominated assets.

Return on group equity value was 13.4% as reported, or 15.7% on an adjusted basis. The hurdle rate is 14.7%, so those adjustments are the difference between falling short vs. exceeding it.

It was a choppy year for the group, with the share price up 11% over 12 months.


A solid year for Standard Bank (JSE: SBK)

2025 was a good time to be in Africa

Standard Bank has released results for the year ended December 2025. As we saw at rival Absa (JSE: ABG) just the other day, it was a solid period for banks who have exposure to the macroeconomic recovery in the rest of Africa.

The group generated 51% of earnings in the period in South Africa, 40% in the Africa Regions business unit, 6% in the Offshore unit and 3% from the stake in ICBC Standard Bank. It’s a good mix that gives Standard Bank some proper growth engines.

Net interest income increased by 4%, and non-interest revenue was up by an impressive 10%. This resulted in a blended increase in net income of 6%, with operating expenses up by a similar percentage.

These growth rates were underpinned by a meaningful uptick in lending activity. For example, business lending origination was up by 21% year-on-year. This is a show of faith in the underlying economic picture.

Thanks to impairments only growing by 5%, banking headline earnings increased by 8%.

Things get a lot better after that, with the insurance and asset management business up 26%, while attributable earnings from ICBC Standard Bank jumped by 46%.

Group headline earnings increased by 11%. The dividend was 12% higher, reflecting a 56% payout ratio.

The cost-to-income ratio has been on an excellent trajectory. Ignoring the worst of the pandemic period where it was much higher, the ratio has improved from 51.5% in FY23 to 50.2% in FY25. That’s a significant improvement over two years. It’s worth noting that software and technology is a major area of investment, so that should drive further efficiencies in years to come.

Return on equity showed strong improvement in FY25. It came in at 19.3%, well above the 18.5% reported in FY24, or 18.8% in FY23.

The 2026 outlook includes an expected mid-to-high single digits growth rate in banking revenue, as well as further improvement to return on equity. They expect the cost-to-income ratio to keep improving as well, so that will help boost margins.


End of an era at Woolworths (JSE: WHL)

Roy Bagattini is retiring; Sam Ngumeni takes the top job

Woolworths announced that CEO Roy Bagattini will be retiring at the end of September 2026. I don’t think you’ll find too many investors who feel that his remuneration over a six-year period was justified by the performance of the group, but that’s often how these things go.

Personally, I’m glad to see that his replacement is an internal appointment, especially after South African retailers went through a phase of bringing in offshore CEOs. This seems to be behind us now, with Sam Ngumeni stepping into the CEO role with effect from 1 June 2026.

This means that the final few months of Bagattini’s time at Woolworths will be for handover purposes.

Ngumeni has been with the group for nearly 30 years and currently runs the Woolworths Food division. It’s rare to see a career path of this nature these days. I think this is an exciting appointment.

What is your view on foreign vs. local CEOs?


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • Here’s an unusual one: a non-executive director of Discovery (JSE: DSY) bought preference shares worth over R5 million.
    • An associate of a director of Northam Platinum (JSE: NPH) bought shares worth almost R2 million.
    • An associate of a director of NEPI Rockcastle (JSE: NRP) bought shares and CFDs to the value of R362k,
    • A non-executive director of Supermarket Income REIT (JSE: SRI) bought shares worth R336k.
  • Montauk Renewables (JSE: MKR) released results for the year ended December 2025. This is a pretty obscure name on the JSE – a situation that won’t change for as long as their results presentation primarily consists of screenshots of their complicated SEC-filed financial statements. Revenue was up 0.4%, but EBITDA fell by 21.2% and HEPS dropped sharply by 62.5%.
  • SAB Zenzele Kabili (JSE: SZK) has released a trading statement for the year ended December 2025. HEPS is the wrong metric entirely, so I’m glad to see that they also include net asset value per share in this trading statement. The expected range is between R36.37 and R39.19, an increase of 29% to 39%. That’s a good year! The share price is R30, having come all the way down since the ridiculous situation in 2021 when people simply would not listen to reason about buying the stock way above the net asset value.
  • Jubilee Metals (JSE: JBL) secured a further $1.8 million worth of high-grade run-of-mine material for the Roan concentrator. They will pay for it through the issue of shares at a 14.3% premium to the closing price as at 9 March 2026. In a similar vein, the sellers of the Large Waste Project have elected to receive the next tranche of $2.6 million in the form of Jubilee shares, also at a 14.3% premium. When a junior mining company can pay in shares rather than cash, you know things are going well.
  • RFG Holdings (JSE: RFG) and Premier Group (JSE: PMR) announced that their scheme of arrangement has now become unconditional. As you may recall, Premier is acquiring RFG in a share-based transaction. The listing of RFG will be terminated from 31 March.
  • Alexander Forbes (JSE: AFH) is executing a small related party transaction with ARC that monetises the shares held in escrow as incentive awards. This increases ARC’s stake in the company from 47.53% to 49.88%. R249 million will be changing hands, so the execs are unlocking a serious amount of cash.
  • Southern Palladium (JSE: SDL) released results for the six months to December 2025. They are still in the exploration phase, so the only revenue is interest income on cash. The operating loss for the period was A$5 million, a good reminder of how expensive it is to bring a mine from dream to reality.

Who’s doing what this week in the South African M&A space?

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Burstone has entered into a strategic joint venture with Hines European Real Estate Partners III, in terms of which the JV will aggregate a portfolio of light industrial assets in the core European markets of Germany and the Netherlands. The parties have committed a combined €160 million (c. R3,2 billion) of equity into this strategy with Burstone investing 20% of the Platform equity and will perform the role of investment and asset manager. Hines has committed the balance. The acquisitions will be funded by a combination of Platform equity and in-Platform debt financing.

Pan African Resources has announced the potential acquisition of Emmerson Resources, a Perth-based explorer with an emerging gold royalty business and large landholding in the Tennant Creek Mineral Field. Emmerson shareholders will receive 0.1493 new Pan African Resources shares for each Emmerson share held based on a Pan African share price of £1.58 per share. The scheme consideration implies a fully diluted equity value for Emmerson of c.£163 million (R3,7 billion). In conjunction with the scheme, Pan African Resources will seek to list on the ASX by way of a foreign exempt listing. The company’s shares will continue to trade as a dual primary issuer on the LSE and JSE following the proposed listing.

CA Sales has entered into an agreement to acquire a 71.19% stake in Sunpac, a South African distributor and turnkey route-to-market partner to a portfolio of international brand owners and retailers. The company will pay an anticipated purchase price of R197,6 million for the stake – a component of the price will be determined upon finalisation of Sunpac’s audited results for the year ending 31 March – subject to a maximum aggregate purchase price of R208,6 million. The transaction will be funded from internal cash resources. In addition, the company has the option to increase its shareholding by a further 17.7% for a consideration capped at R86 million. The acquisition adds a strategic capability for CA Sales in the fast-growing private and confined label category to enhance its ability to support retailers.

In line with its strategy to dispose of non-core assets, Deneb Investments has sold the property Deneb House, located in Observatory in Cape Town to Hype Investments for a consideration of R120 million.

Kalahari Village Mall (KVM) in which Hosken Consolidated Investments holds an effective 64.78% interest, has entered into an agreement with NAD Property Income Fund to dispose of its rights, title and interest in Kalahari Mall, in which it is a beneficiary of and the lessee in respect of a 90-year notarial deed of lease. The disposal consideration of R800 million will be used to settle debt funding and a distribution to shareholders.

A non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) has been entered into by ASP Isotopes’ subsidiary Quantum Leap Energy and a large publicly traded US energy company that operates nuclear power stations. The MOU outlines potential terms for providing financial support pursuant to definitive agreements for the supply of enriched uranium.

Reinet Investments advised its shareholders that it has now received the £2,9 billion (R69,79 billion) from Athora for the disposal of its shareholding in Pension Insurance Corporation, announced in July 2025.

Mahube Infrastructure has advised that the distribution of the Scheme Circular has been delayed. In December, Sustent Holdings – funds managed by Mergence Investment Managers and Creation Capital Services – made an offer to minorities to acquire up to 18,545,454 Mahube Infrastructure shares for R102 million. The company is in the process of engaging with the Takeover Panel regarding a further extension.

Southern Sun has referred shareholders to the announcement in February whereby it advised it proposed to acquire a 50% undivided share in certain Sandton Consortium properties operated by the Group for R735 million. Pareto has elected to exercise its pre-emptive right and as a result, the transaction between the company and Liberty has been terminated.

Yazi, a local AI-native research platform built on WhatsApp, has closed its first institutional funding round led by 3 Capital Ventures, the South African early-stage venture firm spun out of Allan Gray. The investment will be used to accelerate product development, including the launch of automated voice interviews via WhatsApp, expand Yazi’s research participant panel across Africa, and scale internationally as demand from UK and European research agencies grows.

NjiaPay, a payments-as-a-service provider, has closed a US$2,1 million (c.R35 million) seed round led by Newion, one of Europe’s leading B2B SaaS investors. The platform actively optimises payments, increases revenue, and reduces complexity for merchants. Its merchant base includes high-growth startups and established global franchises such as Talk360, Anytime Fitness and Melon Mobile. The newly raised capital will be used to expand NjiaPay’s engineering and commercial teams.

Weekly corporate finance activity by SA exchange-listed companies

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Remgro has disposed of 51,966,739 FirstRand shares through on-market transactions at an average price per share of R93.87 for an aggregate consideration of R4,88 billion. The shares were held by Remgro following the unbundling of its strategic indirect interest in FirstRand, historically held through Remgro’s interest in RMB Holdings. Remgro retained a direct exposure of 3.92% in FirstRand which it had previously identified as non-core. Prior to the sell-down, Remgro had decreased this to 1.64%.

AttBid, a vehicle representing Atterbury Property Fund (APF), I Faan and I Dirk, which made an offer to RMH shareholders earlier this month, has acquired in on-market transactions further RMH shares. Following the transactions, AttBid and APF hold 32.77% and 7.29% respectively, resulting in an aggregate of c.40.06% of the RMH shares in issue.

EPE Capital Partners has completed the pro rata repurchase of its A ordinary shares announced in February. The company has returned an aggregate R854,08 million in cash to shareholders by way of a repurchase of 105,44 million Ethos Capital shares. The company now has 150,54 million A ordinary shares in issue – excluding treasury shares.

Jubilee Metals will issue 42,989,418 shares at a price of 4.48 pence per share in respect of the Large Waste Project purchase agreement. Following the instalment, the remaining balance of the consideration is US$5,4 million. The company has also issued 29,761,905 shares to a feed partner in respect of ROM copper secured.

Premier’s acquisition of RFG has become unconditional as of 11 March 2026. RFG’s JSE listing will accordingly terminate on 31 March 2026.

The JSE has obtained approval from the SARB for the payment to shareholders of a special dividend of 100 cents per share.

Oando has announced the delay in the publication of its 2025 audited financial results which it expects to complete before 30 May 2026. Sebata has also advised that it expects the company’s results for the year ended March 2025 to be released by 31 March 2026.

This week the following companies announced the repurchase of shares:

GreenCoat Renewables has implemented a share buyback programme totalling €100 million over 12 months with a first tranche amounting to €25 million beginning on 5 March 2026 – representing 13% of the issued share capital. This week 1,577,288 shares were repurchased for and aggregate €1,15 million.

In 2025 Investec ltd commenced its share purchase and buy-back programme of up to R2,5 billion (£100 million). Over the period 2 – 10 March 2026, Investec ltd purchased on the LSE, 1,355,318 Investec plc ordinary share at an average price of £6.17 per share and 702,303 Investec plc shares on the JSE at an average price of R135.03 per share. Over the same period Investec ltd repurchased 603,704 of its shares at an average price per share of R134.04. The Investec ltd shares will be cancelled, and the Investec plc shares will be treated as if they were treasury shares in the consolidated annual financial statements of the Investec Group.

Quilter has announced it will commence a share buyback programme to repurchase shares with a value of up to £100 million in order to reduce the share capital of the company and return capital to shareholders. This week Quilter repurchased 1,018,109 shares on the LSE with an aggregate value of £1,86 million and 518,588 shares on the JSE with an aggregate value of R21,02 million.

Anheuser-Busch InBev’s US$2 billion share buy-back programme continues. The shares acquired will be kept as treasury shares to fulfil future share delivery commitments under the group’s stock ownership plans. During the period 2 to 6 March 2026, the group repurchased 410,375 shares for €26,84 million.

In December 2025, British American Tobacco extended its share buyback programme by a further £1.3 billion for 2026. The shares will be cancelled. This week the company repurchased a further 579,420 shares at an average price of £43.65 per share for an aggregate £25,29 million.

During the period 2 to 6 March 2026, Prosus repurchased a further 2,405,007 Prosus shares for an aggregate €100,5 million and Naspers, a further 1,064,589 Naspers shares for a total consideration of R924,77 million.

Two companies issued a profit warning this week: Choppies Enterprises and Putprop.

Who’s doing what in the African M&A and debt financing space?

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Amethis has taken a significant minority stake in Tiba for Starch & Glucose (Tiba), an Egyptian producer of rice-based specialty food ingredients. Founded in Egypt, Tiba specialises in the production of rice-derived value-added products including starch, fat powder, coffee creamer, and protein serving a broad range of applications. Financial terms were not disclosed.

In Lesotho, MG Health announced plans to merge with Canify AG. Fincial terms remain undisclosed. The merger is expected to combine key parts of the value chain – from EU-GMP certified cultivation and extraction of medical cannabis at MG Health in Lesotho, to pharmaceutical development, processing and regulatory management, and finally distribution through Canify’s established network with pharmacies and physicians, complemented by direct access to patients through Canify Clinics. Furthermore, Canify’s existing international supplier network can be optimally aligned with MG Health’s expanded production and processing capacities.

The Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development S.A. (AKFED) announced that it has entered into an agreement to sell its 100% shareholding in NPRT Holdings Africa Limited (NPRT) to Taarifa Ltd. NPRT holds a 54.08% shareholding in Nation Media Group PLC (NMG), comprising 92,618,177 ordinary shares. Taarifa has confirmed that it does not currently contemplate a mandatory or voluntary offer for the remaining NMG shares or delisting on any securities exchange. NMG shares will continue to trade on the Nairobi Securities Exchange and its cross-listed exchanges.

In Morocco, NETIS Group announced the acquisition of a majority stake in Netcom Technologies, a technology integrator specialising in Telecom, IT, Security and Critical Infrastructure solutions. No financial terms were disclosed. NETIS is a pan-African group specialising in the design, deployment and operation of critical infrastructure in the telecommunications and energy sectors.

The Kenya Pipeline Company listed on the Oil & Gas sector of the Nairobi Stock Exchange on Tuesday 10 March. The listing followed a successful IPO that saw the Kenyan government sell a 65% stake in the pipeline company, raising KES106,3 billion (US$823,07 million), in Kenya’s first major IPO in nearly two decades. The share price closed at 9.18 shilling, up from the IPO price of 9 shillings per share.

A consortium of investors led by SPE Capital, through its Private Equity Fund III, and including the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Proparco, and the Belgian Investment Company for Developing Countries (BIO), announced the closing of an investment in Orchidia Pharmaceutical Industries S.A.E., a leading ophthalmic pharmaceutical manufacturer operating in Egypt and across the Middle East and Africa. Financial terms were not disclosed. SPE has a longstanding relationship with Orchidia, having previously invested in the company through one of its managed vehicles from 2013 to 2017.

Recently launched, AfricaWorks Investment Partners, has completed its first deal, acquiring a site in Lagos, Nigeria, for a mixed-use business park development. Located in the heart of Victoria Island, this premium corporate business park development will feature 1,500+ sqm, including Managed Office for up to 125 pax, co-working spaces for up to 200 pax, Conference Centre for up to 80 pax, Executive Board Rooms, Exclusive Café with both indoor & outdoor terrasse, a private fitness centre and business concierge & valet services. The business park is set for completion in Q3 2026 and will be managed by AfricaWorks.

Mitcha, an Egyptian e-commerce platform dedicated to supporting local designers, has been acquired by US-based Converted, a company specialising in AI-powered advertising technology for emerging markets. Founded by Hilda Louca, Mitcha has built a large customer base and a vibrant community of designers and creative talents. Integrating this community into the Converted ecosystem is expected to expand the company’s product capabilities and create greater growth opportunities for merchants and designers across Egypt and the region. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Sahel Capital has approved a loan facility of US$1 million through its Social Enterprise Fund for Agriculture in Africa (SEFAA) for Zigoti Coffee Works, a Ugandan coffee processor and exporter, specialising in both Robusta and Arabica coffee. The company sources coffee beans from over 4,000 smallholder farmers and actively supports them through a range of extension and value-added services. These include training on good agricultural practices, supplying subsidised coffee seedlings through its nurseries, and facilitating access to financial institutions.

Investment momentum in SA’s mining and energy industries

Constrained global supply chains, increasing operational costs, changing commodity prices, policy recalibration, political risk, and the push for sustainable transformation with rising global demand for the continent’s resources are all issues currently facing investors in the mining and energy sector in Africa. These challenges have resulted in some notable M&A activity, numerous legal developments, and an energy market transformation that is helping to boost the continent’s role in the global resource economy.

The African precious metals sector continues to experience increased consolidation and valuation-driven dealmaking, with companies divesting non-core assets to optimise portfolios and focus on high-return operations.

For example, the African copper industry is seeing accelerated growth, driven by global demand for energy transition and technological advancement, with significant M&A activity in Zambia and Botswana reshaping the continent’s role in the global supply chain. Platinum group metals are also rebounding, driven by rising demand for hybrid vehicles and constrained global supply. This benefits players in this space, despite the demerger costs.

In 2025, investment in the South African mining sector was marked by two notable M&A deals that focused on corporate restructuring and balance sheet optimisation – the demerger of Anglo American Platinum (now Valterra Platinum) from the Anglo American group, and the implementation of its secondary listing on the London Stock Exchange, and the hedging collar transaction of African Rainbow Minerals’ equity in Harmony Gold Mining Company.

South Africa is currently advancing a major regulatory reset in the mining sector, with the Draft Mineral Resources Development Bill now in the process of considering public consultation, and the Critical Minerals and Metals Strategy formally adopted. If the final framework aligns with stakeholder expectations, these reforms could deliver the policy certainty needed to strengthen investor confidence across the sector.
Energy

Similarly, Africa’s energy landscape continues to evolve rapidly, marked by liberalisation, regulatory reform, rising tariffs, and a surge in renewable energy investments.

M&A activity in the sector has seen a nuanced shift. While the overall deal volume in Europe, the Middle East and Africa declined, linked to lower energy prices, higher capital costs and reduced appetite for minority stakes, this has been offset by a rise in African oil and gas transactions, and potential for future activity driven by renewables and major takeovers. Renewables continue to be at the heart of South Africa’s energy transition. In addition to increased activity in the captive power space over the last few years, and the emergence of trading and aggregating platforms due to relaxed licensing requirements relating to the direct sale of power, new legislation and proposed draft regulations are paving the way for a fully transparent and open market.

With the initial foundations laid, South Africa’s electricity market has moved decisively into its next phase of reform. The draft Market Code released in 2024 set out the framework for day ahead and intraday trading, and 2025 saw significant progress toward operationalising this competitive market structure.

A major milestone was reached in November 2025 when NERSA approved the Market Operator licence for the National Transmission Company South Africa (NTCSA), formally empowering the entity that will administer the future trading platform and oversee the implementation of the Market Code and Market Rules. NERSA also approved the Grid Capacity Allocation Rules, introducing a transparent, non discriminatory framework for accessing scarce grid capacity, which is one of the most critical enablers for new renewable energy projects.

These developments strengthen the regulatory architecture required for a competitive wholesale electricity market, which remains on track for full operation by 2031. Regionally, momentum within the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) continues to build, with growing interest in cross border power purchase arrangements and increased participation by utilities and private traders. This reflects a broader shift toward regional integration and diversified power trading across Southern Africa.

ESG factors have evolved from a disclosure exercise into a core value driver in South Africa: acquirers are integrating energy self-generation capacity, carbon exposure, water resilience and supply-chain localisation into valuations and post-acquisition integration strategies. The Government’s Just Energy Transition Investment Plan (2023-2027) continues to drive consolidation in the renewable energy sector, as businesses capitalise on decarbonisation imperatives and grid reliability needs. Institutional investors and non-institutional players are driving event-focused campaigns on value extraction and governance.

Coal remains a cornerstone of South Africa’s energy mix, and is still in high demand globally. According to S&P Global Energy, Richards Bay Coal Terminal was on track to export 55 million tonnes of coal in 2025; however, a recent high court ruling against new coal-fired power authorisations underscores the growing environmental pressure in the space.

As Africa’s mining and energy sector navigates complex operational challenges and rising global demand for its resources by reforming its regulatory frameworks, transforming its energy markets and deepening its sustainability commitments, a new wave of investment opportunities in this sector is being unlocked across the continent.

Alessandra Pardini is Head of Projects, Energy and Infrastructure and Ntokozo Nzima a Partner | Bowmans

This article first appeared in DealMakers, SA’s quarterly M&A publication.

Ghost Bites (Alphamin | Harmony Gold | HCI and Deneb | Growthpoint | Metair | OUTsurance | Rainbow Chicken | Supermarket Income REIT)

Alphamin had a strong year – but it could get much better in 2026 (JSE: APH)

The company has flagged the momentum in tin prices

Alphamin has released results for the year and quarter ended December 2025. Production for the year was up by 7% and EBITDA jumped by 25%.

Here’s the really juicy part though: they acheived that EBITDA increase at an average tin price of $34,373/t for the year. The current price is more like $50,000/t. In other words, the exit velocity from 2025 is very exciting for shareholders.

To give you another data point, the average tin price in Q4’25 was $37,995/t. At that price, EBITDA was 13% higher than in Q3’25 when the price was $33,878/t. Yes, that’s a 13% increase on a sequential basis, not a year-on-year basis!

It’s also worth remembering that this annual result was achieved despite the security issues in March / April 2025 that led to the cessation of operations for a few weeks.

The risk of this happening again is always there, so the company focuses on what is within its control. Production guidance for 2026 is 20,000 tonnes, up from 18,576 tonnes.

If prices remain high and if there are no significant disruptions, the company should generate serious cash in 2026. The share price is up 57% in the past year, so those who bought the sell-off during the period of security concerns in 2025 have done very well.


Harmony Gold’s dividend more than doubled (JSE: HAR)

The same can’t be said for earnings

Harmony Gold released results for the six months to December. The company has been taking steps to diversify its business and get involved in the copper race. In a recent poll in Ghost Bites, respondents showed strong support for that strategy, even if it leads to near-term pressure on earnings due to the costs of this diversification.

In this interim period, Harmony grew revenue by just 20%, with operational challenges leading to a drop in production of 9%. This took the shine off the increase in the average gold price over the period.

When you add in the costs of the copper initiatives, headline earnings only grew by 13%. This is way behind sector peers in 2025.

Despite the timid growth in earnings, Harmony has changed its dividend policy and ramped up the cash payments to shareholders. This is why the interim dividend has more than doubled from 227 cents to 530 cents per share.

The share price is up 29% in the past 12 months. That’s good when viewed in isolation, but it represents substantial underperformance vs. gold rivals.


HCI and Deneb sell off non-core properties (JSE: HCI | JSE: DNB)

We are seeing this capital efficiency theme play out across the group

Investors don’t like it when operating companies own non-core properties. It just muddies the waters, as property as an asset class carries less risk (in theory) and thus lower returns than operating companies. It’s also a capital-intensive asset class, so you can easily end up with a “lazy” balance sheet that investors punish in the form of a lower valuation.

The Hosken Consolidated Investments (HCI) stable has recognised this issue and is doing something about it. To add to the other transactions we’ve seen along this theme, the company has now announced the disposal of Kalahari Mall for R800 million.

The property is held by a subsidiary in which HCI has a 64.78% interest, so don’t get too excited about that big juicy number. The subsidiary also owes debt on the property of R249 milion. Before any other costs, this means that HCI looks set to receive around R350 million in proceeds from the sale.

In a further example of this strategy playing out in the broader HCI group, separately-listed subsidiary Deneb is selling Deneb House in Cape Town. It seems that a property can be non-core even when it has their name on the door!

The price for Deneb House is R120 million, with the net proceeds to be applied towards settlement of debt and general corporate purposes. They expect transfer to go through by the end of July 2026. The net asset value of the property as at March 2025 was R112.5 million. New lease agreements will be concluded as part of this deal.

Overall, investors are enjoying this commitment to reducing the property exposure in HCI and its broader group.


The V&A Waterfront is still Growthpoint’s gem (JSE: GRT)

They are investing a fortune in further developing that property

Growthpoint has released results for the six months to December 2025. Although distributable income per share was only 2.3% higher, the company has ramped up the payout ratio and increased the dividend per share by 8.5%. This takes the payout ratio from 82.5% to 87.5%.

The net asset value per share dipped by 2.2%, with the stronger rand as one of the factors here. Growthpoint holds offshore investments in countries like Australia.

South African revenue (excluding trading and development) increased by 2.2%, with lower vacancies and the completion of major refurbishment projects. Thanks to cost initiatives, net property income increased by 2.8%.

Looking at the underlying segments, it’s good to see that all three property types in South Africa performed well. Net property income grew by 6.3% in Retail, 5.6% in Logistics & Industrial, and 5.8% in Office. Before you get too excited about the Office portfolio, reversions in that space were negative 9.6%.

SA finance costs were down by 14.6% thanks to lower average borrowings and a reduced cost of debt. The loan-to-value ratio was 33.2%, an improvement from 34.5%.

The V&A Waterfront always gets a separate mention and with good reason, as the property is flourishing. Like-for-like net property income increased by 8.7%, with increased tourism as a major driver. But because of the development pipeline and the increased borrowings, Growthpoint’s 50% share of distributable income from the property was only up by 1.2%.

The largest offshore investment in the group is Growthpoint Australia, where the distribution was essentially flat in Australian dollars. But once converted to rand, it came in 9% lower year-on-year.

The strategic priority for the group remains the same: exit lower quality properties in South Africa (especially in the Office portfolio) and focus on the best areas. They are also taking a precinct-focused approach now, instead of a spray-and-pray approach based on owning properties all over the place. You can guess which one of those approaches is the official company term vs. my cheekiness.

For FY26, the company expects distributable income per share to grow by between 3% and 5%. The dividend per share is expected to be between 6% and 8% higher.

What is your view on the V&A Waterfront plans?


Will Metair’s luck ever change? (JSE: MTA)

I’m hoping that they’ve now run out of things that can go wrong

The Rombat fine is such an ugly situation for Metair. The European Commission imposed a fine of €20.2m on the company, of which Metair is jointly and severally liable for €11.6m. Worst of all, this relates to market conduct that predates Metair’s acquisition of the company.

This slipped right through the due diligence process conducted at the time by a third party, so you can imagine the kind of emails that have been flying around since the fine was imposed.

Metair has fully provided for the fine in the numbers for the year ended December 2025, which is why they indicate results including and excluding the fine. If you include the fine, the headline loss per share was 21 cents. If you exclude the fine, HEPS was 191 cents. You can therefore see just how material this fine is.

What makes it even more frustrating is that Metair has actually made some progress in its core business. At Hesto for example, revenue increased by 8% and the EBIT margin jumped from 4.6% to 7.6%. The improved vehicle manufacturing volumes at local OEMs have been a major boost.

Sadly, the balance sheet remains a very messy situation. When there’s an entire slide dealing with how the debt is structured and whether covenants have been met, you know it’s tough. At the moment, they’ve met all covenants in the SA Obligor and Hesto packages. But it’s a precarious situation.

Aside from the many risks in the business, it looks as though the AutoZone turnaround plan is running way behind schedule. They took a chance by acquiring the operations out of business rescue. With an EBIT loss of R46 million in AutoZone, they reckon that they are 6 to 9 months behind the recovery plan.

The share price is down 22% over one year. The real story is told over three years, with a precipitous decline of 81%.


OUTsurance had a solid year overall, even if Australia had a wobbly (JSE: OUT)

The South African business is doing exceptionally well

OUTsurance released results for the six months to December 2025 that reflect a 36.2% increase in the interim dividend to 120.7 cents. There’s also a special dividend of 30.3 cents based on monetisation of non-core assets. Talk about getting something out!

The iconic South African short-term insurance arm continues to grow incredibly well. OUTsurance SA achieved normalised earnings growth of 68.9%, which means it added R808 million in earnings. That’s just as well, as Youi Group in Australia took a nasty knock from natural peril claims, with a 43% drop in normalised earnings (a decrease of R519 million). Swings and roundabouts were the order of the day here.

OUTsurance Life put in a flat result (normalised earnings of R143 million), while the start-up losses in OUTsurance Ireland increased to R263 million. OUTsurance plays the long game by building businesses from scratch. It requires patience, but in my opinion this is a better strategy than doing large offshore acquisitions.

It’s important to remember that these businesses roll up into OUTsurance Holdings, which isn’t the listed company. The listed company is in fact OUTsurance Group Limited, which holds 92.8% in OUTsurance Holdings.

Aside from the impact of the non-controlling interest in OUTsurance Holdings, this means that there’s also the effect of treasury and other movements in OUTsurance Group.

Once these are all taken into account, we can see that normalised earnings per share increased by 7.3% at listed company level.

You can therefore see that an increased dividend payout ratio is at play here, as 36.2% growth in the dividend isn’t reflective of the maintainable growth rate in earnings.

Still, with return on equity of 32.3% and the core business in South Africa doing so well, these are solid numbers. The Australian performance is irritating of course, but the insurance game means that you have to retain some of the risk on your balance sheet in order to earn a return. If the spiders and snakes in Australia don’t get you, it seems like the storms just might!


Rainbow Chicken’s HEPS more than doubles (JSE: RBO)

These are the joys of operating leverage – when it works in your favour

The poultry industry is famous for operating leverage. This means that there are high fixed costs in the system, so a good period with strong revenue can be really lucrative for investors. Conversely, a poor period can be disastrous.

It’s also famous for having very low margins, which means that small changes at the top of the income statement can drive substantial percentage movements in net profit.

These sector quirks are clearly visible at Rainbow Chicken in the six months to December 2025. Revenue increased 11.3%, EBITDA jumped by 81.4% and HEPS more than doubled – up 109.9% to 74.81 cents!

EBITDA margin increased from 7.4% to 12.0%. As another indication of just how much better things were in this period, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) jumped from 12.6% to 22.6%.

Management feels confident enough to declare an interim dividend of 15 cents per share. There was no interim dividend in the comparable period.

As a quick note on the segmentals, it was the Chicken division that did all the heavy lifting here. Operating profit was up by 183.9% in that segment! The other major division, Animal Feed, had flat earnings. There is also a very small Waste-to-Value division that achieves marginal profitability while helping the group achieve sustainability and other goals.

The threats are always just behind the door in this sector, with avian flu as an eternal concern. And just for some additional spice, the Competition Commission is busy with a full inquiry into the concentration in the industry. Rainbow Chicken points out that scale is key to efficient production, so hopefully the regulators will reach the same conclusion.


Just 1% dividend growth at Supermarket Income REIT (JSE: SRI)

Welcome to the joys of hard currency growth rates

Supermarket Income REIT operates in the UK. This means that they earn a currency that tends to avoid falling out of bed in the morning. Although the rand has been a star recently, let’s not forget what happened in the 20 years before that.

For the six months to December 2025, the company achieved dividend per share growth of just 1%. To give you a sense of how little growth is actually available in the retail property market in the UK, the dividend growth target is 2% per annum from FY27 onwards. This is truly a game of inches.

There’s no shortage of debt in these developed market structures, with the loan-to-value jumping from 31% to 45%. The economics of property deals in the UK are just completely different to the South African market.


Nibbles:

  • Director dealings:
    • Guess who’s back? Des de Beer has bought R484k worth of shares in Lighthouse Properties (JSE: LTE). When he starts buying, he usually pulls the trigger on a daily basis for a while. Let’s see what happens.
  • With a market cap of just R255 million, Putprop (JSE: PPR) sits among the smaller names on the JSE. In a trading statement for the six months to December 2025, the company noted an expected decrease in HEPS of between 13% and 17%. Results will be released on 18 March.
  • Remgro (JSE: REM) announced that they have continued to reduce their stake in FirstRand (JSE: FSR). By June 2025, they had already reduced their stake to 1.64% in the financial services giant. For context, they owned 3.92% in 2020. They’ve now sold further shares to the value of R3.9 billion. This looks like roughly half of the remaining stake.
  • RMB Holdings (JSE: RMH) announced that the circular related to the AtTBid offer has been delayed. The TRP has granted an extension that gives the company until 8 April 2026.
  • JSE Limited (JSE: JSE) announced that the SARB has approved their special dividend. They can now go ahead and pay in line with the originally announced timetable.
  • PSG Financial Services (JSE: KST) announced the appointment of Dr. Christopher Loewald as an independent non-executive director. Loewald was previously the Chief Economist of the SARB and served on the Monetary Policy Committee until his retirement on 1 March 2026. That’s an appointment that is worth noting!
  • Nigerian energy company Oando (JSE: OAO) is experiencing a delay in the release of financial statements. They attribute this to the migration and integration of legacy ERP systems. Whatever the reason, regulators don’t have much patience for this kind of thing. The company plans to file the 2025 financials by the end of May, with the goal that this won’t be more than 45 days after the reporting deadline.
  • Another name in the naughty corner is Sebata Holdings (JSE: SEB), suspended from trading and miles behind on financials. They still need to release the report for the year ended March 2025! They hope to get this done by the end of March 2026. The delays relate to the accounting complications of the Inzalo Transactions.
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